Having watched the opening show and a fair bit of live feed it's easiest to start off by considering who can't win.
1. The Awful Pink Twins (Amanda and Sam) - Immature, fluffy, shallow, hyper, irritating squealing voices. They'll drive their fellow HM's and viewers crazy. They're already doing my head in. Absolutely no chance of winning.
Currently both about 25/1. Should be 100/1 +
2.Charley - Not only booed on the way in (as the 'lovely' leah from BB7 was so keen to tell us over and over again happened to her) ...but also crys of 'Out!, Out!, Out! '. Surely a 1st.
She just comes across as obnoxious.I'm sure somebody loves her, but I'd bet my Grannies savings that she won't be there on finals night.
Could make Grace from BB7 look like Snow White
Currently 50/1. Should be 1000/1
3.Shabnam - Reminds me of a female version of Shahbaz. Seriously insecure and needy. Not comfortable in her skin and the fact that she seems to be 'clinging' to Charley can only add to her problems.
Currently 33/1.
4.Emily - Way too posh and full of herself to appeal to your average viewer.
Currently 20/1.
5. Lesley - Comes across as a rather stern and aloof headmistress type. Again can't see who'll vote for her.
Currently 28/1 .
6. Carole - Seems to get involved in 'issues' to make up for the lack of a personality. Harmless enough, but I suspect the cheers on the way in (crowd probably just got bored of booing and fancied a change) is the main reason for her being made the early favourite. Now 2nd favourite and drifting.
Currently 12/1. I fully expect her to drift further.
So that leaves Chanelle, Nicky, Laura and Tracey.
The first two look normal enough and down to earth, but possibly too dull to win.
Think they'll both survive until towards the end and will be shorter prices than they are now
Currently Nicky is 18/1 and Chanelle 22/1
Which leaves Laura and Tracey as the only two possible winners from the initial entry.
Laura is chatty and friendly without being OTT. Even tempered and down to earth. On the tubby side..... certainly not your bimbo type who other women tend not to vote for and looks a worth a bet at around 8/1
Finally Tracey.
Though it initially seemed she would be incredibly OTT and annoying, she has calmed down considerable and seems to get on well with all the other HM's , but I suspect won't be scared to have ago at the annoying ones if she needs to. This will surely earn her brownie points with the viewers and she looks the stand out bet at around 16/1.
Thursday, 31 May 2007
Wednesday, 30 May 2007
Recommended Bets
o1/06/07 First Eviction. Emily at 18/1
31/05/07 Laura to win at 8/1
31/05/07 Tracey to win at 16/1
31/05/07 Laura to win at 8/1
31/05/07 Tracey to win at 16/1
Thursday 30th August Highlights
Day 92
10:12am - All of the housemates are asleep in the bedroom. The lights come on, and My Way is played into the house. Carole speculates that someone will be leaving tonight.
Brian asks if it's Cliff Richard singing. He then gets up and starts to dance around the bedroom singing along.
Ziggy gets up and leaps through the air as the others wave their arms along with the music.
11:04am - Amanda, Jonty, and Brian are in the bedroom. Jonty asks if Brian has seen his t-shirt with the Isle of Man flag on it. Brian says he doesn't know what the Isle of Man flag looks like, adding "I thought only countries had a flag, is the Isle of Man a country? I thought it was just like an Isle of Wight thing". Amanda asks "Is it not a country?" Brian says "It must be a country then…"
Liam is in the Diary Room. "And so, the end is near…..that's a bit of a yank on the old heartstrings". He says they all feel they've made some genuine friends in the house and that they are starting to talk about home now. "I wish I could stay here forever….I remember walking in here, but before that walking from the car in here I can't remember a thing. I try so much, I remember touching people's hands and photographers shouting me name. It was like being fired out of a canon….it's been such a roller-coaster. It's been like the best roller-coaster ever."
11:43am - In the garden Ziggy is looking at a blow-up ball from a previous task which has a globe printed on it and commenting on how small Britain is. The twins look at it and say it would take a long time to get to China. "
What about Australia?" says Liam. Amanda asks "is that near Africa?" They then look at America and Amanda says she'd love to live in America and be able to say "I'm from Miami". Jonty says he likes living in Britain, "I think Britain's cool".
12:26pm - Most of the housemates are in the garden. Jonty wonders what they'll all be doing in a week's time, then says "it would be funny if the rest of the world got so cross with us we all had to hide back in here again for another three months." He then says "Wouldn't it be weird if we were on our way out and one by one we all turned into sun-cream lotion? There'd be no point interviewing us because we wouldn't say anything because we wouldn't say much would we…?" The housemates look confused and Ziggy says "that would just be strange". "Very strange" replies Jonty. "That would just mess the whole show up".
Brian is in the Diary Room saying he's freaked out about going back to the outside world but feels he's done himself proud, and has learned to respect and listen to other people's opinions. He adds that since being in the house Liam has taught him how to shave properly, and that he wants "the twinnies" to win.
2:20pm - Most of the housemates are in the garden. The twins are in the pool. Ziggy and Carole are talking in the kitchen talking about how they got involved in arguments while in the house, but feel they always stood up for people and spoke their minds. They then talk about Ziggy's relationship with Chanelle and Ziggy says he has been an idiot but that "every bloke I know is useless at relationships , just like myself, I'm absolutely crap at them….when Gerry releases his book about men and relationships I'll be the first one to get it".
3:19pm - The housemates are gathered on the sofas where Jonty is reading out instructing for the day's task. Big Brother is having a break and the housemates must decide who should take over and be Big Brother for the day. They are given £100 and takeaway menus to order their own dinner. Jonty indicates he would like to do it and the others agree he can. Ziggy opens the envelope to see the £100 and they all stare and touch it as they haven't seen real money in months. "
Big Jonty" is called to the Diary Room and Big Brother explains to him how to be Big Brother.
3:54pm - Most of the housemates are in the garden when they hear Big Jonty request all housemates to wear their microphones and have them positioned correctly. Everyone laughs. The twins, Liam and Ziggy compare leaving the house to coming home from a holiday, saying Davina is like passport control and their interviews are like they have lost luggage and need to talk to someone about it. Liam adds that they will also have "the best holiday video ever".
4:10pm - Brian, Amanda, Sam, Ziggy and Liam are in the garden. Liam and the twins talk about when they first met, when Liam was chucking them around. Sam says "Cheesy McSqueezy". Big Jonty is called to the vestibule where he must come in order to conduct a Diary Room with any of the housemates.
He calls Ziggy to the Diary Room and says that as Ziggy's been in the garden lying on plastic grass would he like to change his name to "Plastic Grass". Ziggy isn't keen. He asks whether Big Jonty would like to know how he's coping. Big Jonty asks "how are you coping?". "It's none of your business" says Ziggy.
4:30pm - Carole is cleaning with gloves on. Most of the housemates are in the garden.Big Jonty has called Sam and Amanda to the Diary Room. The twins request music and a party from Big Jonty. The girls list Barbie Girl, Buttons and Umbrella as their most wanted tracks and Big Jonty notes their request. The girls are pleased and sing, "Go Jonty go go go".
In the garden everyone jumps up and dances as they hear Barbie Girl play into the house. As Carole cleans in the bedroom, she notices the music and looks out to the garden. Everyone continues to dance in the garden. Carole looks at everyone and smiles as she gets back to the cleaning.
5:33pm - Carole is in the Diary Room talking to Big Jonty. She thanks Big Jonty and Big Brother for her experience in the house.
Ziggy and Liam are at the sofas.The two talk about gaining notoriety after they leave the house. Ziggy says he will jump over the mangle before he leaves the house.
5.49pm - Ziggy, Carole and Liam are in the living area, where Carole says, "I need to do my foot tonight".
Jonty, Amanda and Brian are in the garden where they hear "Brian to win" shouted over the fence. Brian looks at Amanda and says, "You deserve to win". Brian then asks Amanda to feel his beating heart, she says, "Oh my god". Amanda says, "On Saturday we'll be free" and Brian replies "pukka".
6.51pm - Liam, Sam and Amanda are in the bathroom. The twins throw cold water over Liam while he sits in the shower. Jonty has been called to the Diary Room where he thanks Big Brother for letting step into Big Brother's shoes, saying "it was most amusing, thankyou".
Brian and Carole are in the garden saying it's nice for Jonty to be Big Jonty because he's not been in the house as long and needs more experiences to remember.
8.40pm - In the living area Liam tells everyone his home will always be where his family is and the housemates all dicuss how they've felt at home in the Big Brother house. At the smoking area, Brian lights a cigarette. He is startled as The Klaxons Golden Skans blasts into the house and Brian runs into the house to dance with everyone.
10.41pm - Brian, Carole, Jonty, Amanda and Sam are on the sofas. Sam says none of them have any idea who will win, so there's no point guessing, and Brian adds that he feels that they are all winners. Ziggy and Liam are at the smoking area talking about Chanelle. Ziggy confesses that he felt paranoid about Chanelle flirting with the boys in the house. He says he thought she was flirting with Liam but knows that they were just being friendly and there wasn't anything more in it. Ziggy tells Liam that Carole kept telling him things about Chanelle that made him question their relationship and says he feels Carole stirred up trouble between him and Chanelle.
12.25am - Jonty is in the Diary Room and is giggling. He is holding some sticky sweets in his hand and says "Look at all this mess!" He then laughs uncontrollably, every time he tries to talk he just laughs.
In the garden, Brian and Amanda are under a duvet looking at the moon. Brian says "That's the same moon that all my family and friends are looking at". He then says "Do you know the moon is apparently bigger than the universe" and Amanda replies "What's the universe?" Brian says "The stuff that we're all in apparently". Amanda again says "what's the universe?" and Brian replies "I'm not too sure". Amanda whispers to Brian "I just don't want people to think I don't know what the universe is - cringe!"Brian then says that he's into cosmic ordering and asks Amanda if she watches Deal or No Deal as Noel Edmonds is also into cosmic ordering. Brian says he "asked the universe" to meet a great girl, get a job and have a great adventure, and he got all three. "Three out of three's not bad for a good summer"
1.06am - Most of the housemates are in the garden. Ziggy is in the bedroom. In the garden everyone lies under looking at the sky and talking. Jonty breaks wind and they all scream and laugh.
10:12am - All of the housemates are asleep in the bedroom. The lights come on, and My Way is played into the house. Carole speculates that someone will be leaving tonight.
Brian asks if it's Cliff Richard singing. He then gets up and starts to dance around the bedroom singing along.
Ziggy gets up and leaps through the air as the others wave their arms along with the music.
11:04am - Amanda, Jonty, and Brian are in the bedroom. Jonty asks if Brian has seen his t-shirt with the Isle of Man flag on it. Brian says he doesn't know what the Isle of Man flag looks like, adding "I thought only countries had a flag, is the Isle of Man a country? I thought it was just like an Isle of Wight thing". Amanda asks "Is it not a country?" Brian says "It must be a country then…"
Liam is in the Diary Room. "And so, the end is near…..that's a bit of a yank on the old heartstrings". He says they all feel they've made some genuine friends in the house and that they are starting to talk about home now. "I wish I could stay here forever….I remember walking in here, but before that walking from the car in here I can't remember a thing. I try so much, I remember touching people's hands and photographers shouting me name. It was like being fired out of a canon….it's been such a roller-coaster. It's been like the best roller-coaster ever."
11:43am - In the garden Ziggy is looking at a blow-up ball from a previous task which has a globe printed on it and commenting on how small Britain is. The twins look at it and say it would take a long time to get to China. "
What about Australia?" says Liam. Amanda asks "is that near Africa?" They then look at America and Amanda says she'd love to live in America and be able to say "I'm from Miami". Jonty says he likes living in Britain, "I think Britain's cool".
12:26pm - Most of the housemates are in the garden. Jonty wonders what they'll all be doing in a week's time, then says "it would be funny if the rest of the world got so cross with us we all had to hide back in here again for another three months." He then says "Wouldn't it be weird if we were on our way out and one by one we all turned into sun-cream lotion? There'd be no point interviewing us because we wouldn't say anything because we wouldn't say much would we…?" The housemates look confused and Ziggy says "that would just be strange". "Very strange" replies Jonty. "That would just mess the whole show up".
Brian is in the Diary Room saying he's freaked out about going back to the outside world but feels he's done himself proud, and has learned to respect and listen to other people's opinions. He adds that since being in the house Liam has taught him how to shave properly, and that he wants "the twinnies" to win.
2:20pm - Most of the housemates are in the garden. The twins are in the pool. Ziggy and Carole are talking in the kitchen talking about how they got involved in arguments while in the house, but feel they always stood up for people and spoke their minds. They then talk about Ziggy's relationship with Chanelle and Ziggy says he has been an idiot but that "every bloke I know is useless at relationships , just like myself, I'm absolutely crap at them….when Gerry releases his book about men and relationships I'll be the first one to get it".
3:19pm - The housemates are gathered on the sofas where Jonty is reading out instructing for the day's task. Big Brother is having a break and the housemates must decide who should take over and be Big Brother for the day. They are given £100 and takeaway menus to order their own dinner. Jonty indicates he would like to do it and the others agree he can. Ziggy opens the envelope to see the £100 and they all stare and touch it as they haven't seen real money in months. "
Big Jonty" is called to the Diary Room and Big Brother explains to him how to be Big Brother.
3:54pm - Most of the housemates are in the garden when they hear Big Jonty request all housemates to wear their microphones and have them positioned correctly. Everyone laughs. The twins, Liam and Ziggy compare leaving the house to coming home from a holiday, saying Davina is like passport control and their interviews are like they have lost luggage and need to talk to someone about it. Liam adds that they will also have "the best holiday video ever".
4:10pm - Brian, Amanda, Sam, Ziggy and Liam are in the garden. Liam and the twins talk about when they first met, when Liam was chucking them around. Sam says "Cheesy McSqueezy". Big Jonty is called to the vestibule where he must come in order to conduct a Diary Room with any of the housemates.
He calls Ziggy to the Diary Room and says that as Ziggy's been in the garden lying on plastic grass would he like to change his name to "Plastic Grass". Ziggy isn't keen. He asks whether Big Jonty would like to know how he's coping. Big Jonty asks "how are you coping?". "It's none of your business" says Ziggy.
4:30pm - Carole is cleaning with gloves on. Most of the housemates are in the garden.Big Jonty has called Sam and Amanda to the Diary Room. The twins request music and a party from Big Jonty. The girls list Barbie Girl, Buttons and Umbrella as their most wanted tracks and Big Jonty notes their request. The girls are pleased and sing, "Go Jonty go go go".
In the garden everyone jumps up and dances as they hear Barbie Girl play into the house. As Carole cleans in the bedroom, she notices the music and looks out to the garden. Everyone continues to dance in the garden. Carole looks at everyone and smiles as she gets back to the cleaning.
5:33pm - Carole is in the Diary Room talking to Big Jonty. She thanks Big Jonty and Big Brother for her experience in the house.
Ziggy and Liam are at the sofas.The two talk about gaining notoriety after they leave the house. Ziggy says he will jump over the mangle before he leaves the house.
5.49pm - Ziggy, Carole and Liam are in the living area, where Carole says, "I need to do my foot tonight".
Jonty, Amanda and Brian are in the garden where they hear "Brian to win" shouted over the fence. Brian looks at Amanda and says, "You deserve to win". Brian then asks Amanda to feel his beating heart, she says, "Oh my god". Amanda says, "On Saturday we'll be free" and Brian replies "pukka".
6.51pm - Liam, Sam and Amanda are in the bathroom. The twins throw cold water over Liam while he sits in the shower. Jonty has been called to the Diary Room where he thanks Big Brother for letting step into Big Brother's shoes, saying "it was most amusing, thankyou".
Brian and Carole are in the garden saying it's nice for Jonty to be Big Jonty because he's not been in the house as long and needs more experiences to remember.
8.40pm - In the living area Liam tells everyone his home will always be where his family is and the housemates all dicuss how they've felt at home in the Big Brother house. At the smoking area, Brian lights a cigarette. He is startled as The Klaxons Golden Skans blasts into the house and Brian runs into the house to dance with everyone.
10.41pm - Brian, Carole, Jonty, Amanda and Sam are on the sofas. Sam says none of them have any idea who will win, so there's no point guessing, and Brian adds that he feels that they are all winners. Ziggy and Liam are at the smoking area talking about Chanelle. Ziggy confesses that he felt paranoid about Chanelle flirting with the boys in the house. He says he thought she was flirting with Liam but knows that they were just being friendly and there wasn't anything more in it. Ziggy tells Liam that Carole kept telling him things about Chanelle that made him question their relationship and says he feels Carole stirred up trouble between him and Chanelle.
12.25am - Jonty is in the Diary Room and is giggling. He is holding some sticky sweets in his hand and says "Look at all this mess!" He then laughs uncontrollably, every time he tries to talk he just laughs.
In the garden, Brian and Amanda are under a duvet looking at the moon. Brian says "That's the same moon that all my family and friends are looking at". He then says "Do you know the moon is apparently bigger than the universe" and Amanda replies "What's the universe?" Brian says "The stuff that we're all in apparently". Amanda again says "what's the universe?" and Brian replies "I'm not too sure". Amanda whispers to Brian "I just don't want people to think I don't know what the universe is - cringe!"Brian then says that he's into cosmic ordering and asks Amanda if she watches Deal or No Deal as Noel Edmonds is also into cosmic ordering. Brian says he "asked the universe" to meet a great girl, get a job and have a great adventure, and he got all three. "Three out of three's not bad for a good summer"
1.06am - Most of the housemates are in the garden. Ziggy is in the bedroom. In the garden everyone lies under looking at the sky and talking. Jonty breaks wind and they all scream and laugh.
All Women 1st Night
Looks certain that tonights initial intake of HM will all be female.
A show 'insider' who posts on a BB forum and is yet to be wrong,has posted this in the last hour.
Rumour has it that the men go in on friday.
Some punters did manage to back a woman being the first through the door at 5/6 . Unfortunately I wasn't one. Bookmakers are no longer taking bets on the gender of the first person to enter the house
A show 'insider' who posts on a BB forum and is yet to be wrong,has posted this in the last hour.
Rumour has it that the men go in on friday.
Some punters did manage to back a woman being the first through the door at 5/6 . Unfortunately I wasn't one. Bookmakers are no longer taking bets on the gender of the first person to enter the house
10 hours and counting
The main betting before the show has even begun is on the gender of the winner
Fixed odds Bookmakers
Male 8/11 fav
Female 11/10
Transexual 18/1
Best prices availabe as of 3.00 pm 30/05/07
http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/big-brother/big-brother-8/gender-of-winner
Betfair.com
Male 1.8
Female 2.2
See 'Duffers guide' to explain any terms you are unsure about
Just a note. Only 2 bookies are giving odds on a transexual winner. Most, as in BB5,with Nadia, will pay out on the gender they are now.
With 5 male winners and 2 female winners, a male winner looks a good bet at 8/11 ......but with females winning the last 2 series of Celebrity BB and a female winner of the X-factor this year, I'd be reluctant to get involved at the price.
It's also interesting that for the 1st time this year a black woman, in X-factor, and an Asian woman in CBB have shown that non-white contestants can win Reality TV shows.
So I'd suggest No Bet. Wait til we see their ugly mugs
Fixed odds Bookmakers
Male 8/11 fav
Female 11/10
Transexual 18/1
Best prices availabe as of 3.00 pm 30/05/07
http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/big-brother/big-brother-8/gender-of-winner
Betfair.com
Male 1.8
Female 2.2
See 'Duffers guide' to explain any terms you are unsure about
Just a note. Only 2 bookies are giving odds on a transexual winner. Most, as in BB5,with Nadia, will pay out on the gender they are now.
With 5 male winners and 2 female winners, a male winner looks a good bet at 8/11 ......but with females winning the last 2 series of Celebrity BB and a female winner of the X-factor this year, I'd be reluctant to get involved at the price.
It's also interesting that for the 1st time this year a black woman, in X-factor, and an Asian woman in CBB have shown that non-white contestants can win Reality TV shows.
So I'd suggest No Bet. Wait til we see their ugly mugs
Duffers Guide to Betting
1. Bookmakers.
The most popular and simplest way of placing a bet is with one of the fixed odds bookmakers. These are the names that I'm sure most people have heard of . Ladrokes, William Hill, Corals and Paddy Power,being the most well known.
The prices offered by these bookmakers generally only change once or twice a day. If at all
The second type of 'bookmakers' are the betting exchanges, the most well known and biggest being betfair.com . These exchanges act much like the stock market,with the prices offered changing in real time. Often every second or so. With betting exchanges you can also be the bookmaker and take other peoples bets, also known as laying. More about this later.
2. Odds
There a 2 ways of expressing odds. Either fractional or decimal.Most Bookmakers use fractional, but the betting exchanges use the decimal method
Fractional Odds - Well if you remember your fractions from school then you're virtually there.
In very simple terms you have to put on the 2nd number to win the 1st.
Some examples- 2/1 . Place a bet of £1 and you win £2 plus your £1 back. So you'll receive £3....or £2.50 on at 2/1 and you'll win £5 plus your stake back. Return of £7.50.
A slightly trickier example, 4/6. You have to put on £6 to win £4 plus your £6 back,giving you a return of £10......or £10 on at 4/6 would give you winnings of £6.67 plus your stake back. A return of £16.67.
Decimal Odds - Betting exchanges and some fixed odds bookmakers use this method.
Basically all you do is multiply your stake by the number quoted to work out the money you get back
So if you had a bet of £4 at 3.2 (4 x 3.2 =12.8) a return of £12.80. Note that this includes the return of your stake.
In the 2nd example above,4/6 would be expressed as 1.67 under the decimal method
3. Betting on the exchanges.
Rather than me trying to explain it, a full explanation is here
Including the mysterious art of laying
The most popular and simplest way of placing a bet is with one of the fixed odds bookmakers. These are the names that I'm sure most people have heard of . Ladrokes, William Hill, Corals and Paddy Power,being the most well known.
The prices offered by these bookmakers generally only change once or twice a day. If at all
The second type of 'bookmakers' are the betting exchanges, the most well known and biggest being betfair.com . These exchanges act much like the stock market,with the prices offered changing in real time. Often every second or so. With betting exchanges you can also be the bookmaker and take other peoples bets, also known as laying. More about this later.
2. Odds
There a 2 ways of expressing odds. Either fractional or decimal.Most Bookmakers use fractional, but the betting exchanges use the decimal method
Fractional Odds - Well if you remember your fractions from school then you're virtually there.
In very simple terms you have to put on the 2nd number to win the 1st.
Some examples- 2/1 . Place a bet of £1 and you win £2 plus your £1 back. So you'll receive £3....or £2.50 on at 2/1 and you'll win £5 plus your stake back. Return of £7.50.
A slightly trickier example, 4/6. You have to put on £6 to win £4 plus your £6 back,giving you a return of £10......or £10 on at 4/6 would give you winnings of £6.67 plus your stake back. A return of £16.67.
Decimal Odds - Betting exchanges and some fixed odds bookmakers use this method.
Basically all you do is multiply your stake by the number quoted to work out the money you get back
So if you had a bet of £4 at 3.2 (4 x 3.2 =12.8) a return of £12.80. Note that this includes the return of your stake.
In the 2nd example above,4/6 would be expressed as 1.67 under the decimal method
3. Betting on the exchanges.
Rather than me trying to explain it, a full explanation is here
Including the mysterious art of laying
Tuesday, 29 May 2007
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